Hi. Please remove if inapropriate.

The media outlets i read report about "giant" wildfires in Spain, France and Canada. Thousands of people are being rescued etc.

Then i go and search the web for "Wildfire Satellite", i find the NASA website with the map i took the screenshot of. ( https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/map/#d:24hrs;@18.7,7.4,2.5z )

Yes, Spain, France and Canada have some red dots on them.

And Central Africa seems to be a burning hell, excuse me, noone seems to give an eff about.

Released CO2 is released CO2, regardless of the location on out home planet, a burned home is a burned home, a human being is a human being.

I can't oversee all the news websites of the web but it seems like i'd have to review my collection.

I'm not trying to say "Something is being hidden from us!" Because it is not, but ... I wonder why i had to find out myself without any journalist reporting on this? This can't be "The New Normal" or the old one.

Regards

Heres mine (i advise you to screenshot this as this thread may be deleted several months from now after the events start happening as the truth about where i get my 'predictions' from is something certain people may want to hide....

1. Zelensky definitely removed (older pro Russian guy takes over afterwards and part of Ukraine ceded to Russia). Ukr vs Russia over BEFORE Iran conflict ends.

2.Cuban regime definitely removed...Marco Rubio will be calling shots regarding Cuba after. (I could mention what is going to happen in Mexico with Claudia Scheinbaum, but perhaps thats for a different post)

3.I suspect September will be a month to remember regarding the Iran conflict, heavy bombing...oil price surge.

4.Irans infrastructure like Kharg Island will be devastated later in 2026 and i suspect Ayatollahs reign over in the Autumn. Reza Pahlavi definitely returns afterwards regardless of Trump already expressing doubt over him.

5.Oil goes circa $200 a barrel, but drops like a stone afterwards so it wont stay at a high price longterm.

1. Republicans will definitely win the House in the November midterm elections despite being curreng outsiders ( quite big outsiders currently, about 3/1 last i checked)...Im not going to comment on the Senate.

I could make more predictions, but whether the nuclear material unleashed in Israel, or the irradiation of Irans mountain bunker, or the rise of Iraq and the Iraqi Dinar (because of what you will see regarding their oil) happen in the next 12 months or later, i wont comment on that here...the 6 predictions above are enough for this post.

SS: Headline keeps changing on this live feed, so this *was* the headline when I posted. Local officials near Madrid say the wildfires are beyond their capacity to control. The fires are now "a few dozen kilometres" from the outskirts of the capital. While 65,000 residents have been evacuated cross France and Spain, thousands more are in lockdown in their houses. Regional president calls it "the worst fire in the history of the region." Residents say "Never experienced anything like this." Back to back heatwaves are a contributing factor. This is not collapse related; this is collapse.

Am I thinking rationally? If you think not, go ahead and help me ground myself if you have a logical alternative opinion.

IMO Trump/oligarchs/project2025/christian-nationalist/maga whoever are working on a transforming our government to some version of authoritarianism against liberals, immigrants, POC, etc.

They keep pushing the envelop to what they can get away with, for example: no accountability for Epstein crimes, not listening to courts (which is another issue), bribery and corruption to enrich themselves, forming a state police or cultivating the environment for it (ice, pardoned j6ers, not calling out patriot front etc) Working on interference with free elections and turning it into a Russia style election.

Everyone on the left can see it plain as day. But they are relying on the systems in place to reign in this overtake...some of which I think are already failing.

Another poster in this subreddit noted change will only happen thru violence, and thus nothing will happen soon-ish because most everyone deep down knows once that box is opened, our "normal" way of life will be no more.

IMO this tension is only cold because the democrats are trying to avoid it from getting hot, we already saw what the right is willing to do when they don't get their way (Jan 6). And they are planting the seeds for violence with both trumps assassination attempt and Charlie Kirk, both of which stink to high heaven with inconsistencies of what they are telling us.

If the shoe was on the other foot and democrats were doing even a tenth of what the right is (but in terms of healthcare, gun reform, climate change action) ...capitals would already have been stormed and blood spilt, imo.

When you point out all the craziness going on with trumps admin, I've gotten "well democrats are the real authoritarians making us wear mask and shutting down businesses during covid!!"

As if requiring wearing mask to prevent a deadly illness from spreading is equivalent to the mask wore by those to conceal their faces as they abuse their power in the name of law enforcement. And also, wasn't trump president when everything shut down?

Sure I dont agree with how the vaccine mandate was executed...does that mean we need to go straight fascist?

Anyways, if you agree with me....whats next? imo, how this midterm election goes will tell us how much longer we can enjoy "normal".

I have my own predictions about that, but I'll leave those out unless someone asks for it.

Even if we survive the fires, the starvation, the heat we are still doomed. The atmosphere that permitted complex brains is reverting to pre-human levels.

The more co2 in the air, the dumber we get. Eveventually, our species (if it survives) will devolve back to a primitive state.

1- Maximilien Lamy / AFP via Getty Image

2 - Crisis What Crisis ~ Supertramp

Unfortunately, wether warranted or unwarranted, informations that are broadcasted through mainstream sources provoke a knee-jerk reaction of defiance, apathy or incredulity.

This means that we're not taking the threat of climate change seriously. Some people are downright hostile to the reality of climate change, even if they are and will suffer from it.

I think that if scientists, instead of alerting us, actually pretended to hide the consequences and realities of climate change from us and even going so far as manufacturing an allure of secrecy (photos that look stolen from seminars talking about climate change showing a ppt where the consequences are detailed, few graphs showing the earth is warming that are dropped in obscure ways like Q drops in 4chan, ...). People would actually look into it like some conspiracy theory and we might even see some opportunistic politicians using this issue to get elected and trying to implement policies to try limit the consequences of climate change.

It for sure would be more of a talking point online accross the board rather than us just apathically knowing we're cooked (or getting cooked) and others being hostile. It'd be tied to other conspiracy theories about how the elites are looking to depopulate the Earth and all that.

I know climate scientists are not supposed to be masters of social engineering and this thought is not plausible, but the idea that it just might work better in nowadays political and media landscapes than to have people with credentials and fact-based arguments is wild to me.

Do you think strategically nowadays with how little trust there is around mainstream sources and institutions, this kind of astroturfing is more effective ?

Jonathan Swift suggested that the solution to the "Irish Problem" was for the British to eat the Irish in his essay "A Modest Proposal". We seem to be confronted now with the tech bro oligarchs desire to "eat humanity". And their proposal is anything but modest: force AI down our throats, causing massive job losses, destroy constitutional government and replace it with so-called "network states"...a new kind of serfdom dominated by corporate-fascist governing and goodbye human rights... They do not care about the environmental damage they cause (data centers for example) and are only interested extractive profiteering of the world's resources. Climate change is fine with them. We're already living "Collapse".

I'm a dreamer, a solitary individual, a humanist, with a small addiction to hopium. I've outlined an alternative "refuge" to what we are already experiencing. Utopian perhaps, but mankind (or a part of it) really could do better.

A factsheet is at https://archive.org/details/factsheetalphistia/mode/1up and more information is at https://archive.org/details/@alphistia123?sort=creator

I think most people (certainly not those in this sub) are waiting for the wrong thing. Everyone imagines the day the sirens go off, but collapse is slow. It looks like rent and groceries tripling while wages stagnate and jobs disappear. We yell, we post, then... adjust.

Nothing breaks all at once. We just absorb every downgrade one at a time, and each one becomes the new baseline before anyone votes on it. The boiling frog thing is a myth, by the way. Real frogs jump out.

I'm less sure about us.

The official story will stay "everything's fine" right up until it quietly becomes
"well, nothing lasts forever."

There's no doubt in my mind that a vast majority of people would agree that things aren't going well (and, thankfully, a growing number are realizing it's nearly all because of capitalism) - but what do you think are more ways to get people to move beyond recognition and into actual meaningful action?

How do we combat the capital ties and relative-comfort some people have that prevents them from doing more than upvoting something/yelling online?

All throughout history, things have changed when enough people realized "oh, yeah, there's way more of us than them..." - so it's not like we've entered some twilight zone where this isn't the case anymore. Revolution is possible, but the billionaire class monopoly on media, social media, and violence requires us to use our numbers more than anything else.

How do we get more people to realize this, in the real world, and tie that realization to non-online action?

Antinatalism enters the mainstream. Remember when we were accused of being sick doomers for talking about this sort of thing?

"...I've had people saying they're going to terminate pregnancies..."

Richard was a planetary force for good. The world has lost a great man. He played a huge role in raising awareness about the modern interconnected crises and was incredibly grounded, humble, wise, and generous.

To share some comments or stories on how Richard had an impact on your life, visit this website:

https://everloved.com/life-of/richard-heinberg/

https://preview.redd.it/g5voetcqu1fh1.jpg?width=1119&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5fd671bf61aab8dfb4cf80b3932bfbedca50d50d

From his obituary:

"Richard Heinberg, world renowned author and educator, musician, artist, and husband to Janet, passed away on July 19, 2026 at the age of 75 to pancreatic cancer. He was the award-winning author of fourteen books and known the world over as an expert on sustainability issues. A former professor at New College in Santa Rosa, Richard served as Senior Fellow for the international think-tank Post Carbon Institute for nearly twenty years.

Richard was born October 21, 1950 and grew up in Saint Joseph, Missouri. From an early age, Richard was drawn to music, community, and the fate of the natural world. In his early twenties he played electric guitar and violin in rock bands, and formed the Society of Integrated Living (SOIL) while living in Toronto, Canada. He first became a scholar, writer, and speaker as part of an international spiritual community, through which he met his wife Janet Barocco. In 1992 a short newspaper article on the depletion of oil sent Richard on a path of exploration and communication about the energy and sustainability crisis, a journey that led him to start his own monthly newsletter, The Museletter, which he published for 400 consecutive months.

This journey eventually led Richard to co-develop and teach the pioneering BA program at New College on Culture, Ecology, and Sustainable Community. He authored a dozen books, delivered hundreds of talks around the world, including at the European Parliament, penned thousands of articles, including in places like The Wall Street Journal and Post Carbon Institute's website resilience.org, and was featured in magazines, television, and film. Richard's first book on the energy crisis, The Party's Over: Oil, War, and the Fate of Industrial Societies, was lent by former President Bill Clinton to the New Yorker writer David Remnick, "full of underlinings and what looked like the most serious undergraduate's markings, with lots of exclamation points." Millions of people around the world have read or viewed Richard's books, essays, or videos.

Richard was also an accomplished musician, playing violin locally in Santa Rosa in string quartets and occasionally with the Sonoma County Philharmonic. Nerve damage in his fingertips forced him to end a 60-year career as violinist, but Richard quickly pivoted five years ago to learn piano through intense study and daily practice of ragtime, early Jazz, blues, and stride piano. Richard's passion for music was eclectic, ranging from classical music to the Grateful Dead to early New Orleans Jazz. He and his wife Janet made an annual pilgrimage to his beloved second city, New Orleans, for the French Quarter Music Fest.

A true polymath constantly engaged in learning and new horizons, Richard had a remarkable way of distilling extremely challenging and complex topics down to their essence. He was adored by those lucky enough to work with or meet him, and known for his quick wit, humility, gentleness, and cheerful truthtelling about the human predicament.

A Celebration of Life is being planned for early October. To share your memories or appreciation of Richard, and to get updated information about memorial plans, please visit https://everloved.com/life-of/richard-heinberg/. To honor his memory, please consider donating to Post Carbon Institute or an environmental nonprofit of your choice."

https://everloved.com/life-of/richard-heinberg/

Title says it all. I have two kids. 11 and 8. They are smart, and funny, and they love each other. I think that I should be talking to them about the world that they might be inheriting. But to what end? I don't know. Preparing them to be revolutionaries? To survive climate apocalypse? To escape fascism? I don't want to scare them, but I don't want to hide difficult truths either. Could really use some advice.

I think it isn't solely, that people aren't angry enough or that they aren't acting out of a sense of powerlessness. I think it might be that paradoxically we are lacking in will to live and purpose in life. The raw instinct to survive often makes people cowardly. But the philosophical will to live, the belief that life is good and worth having is precisely what overrides the survival instinct when another person is in danger.

Our physical needs are massively oversaturated compared to our spiritual / cultural needs. Why? Because we cling to the physical safety of financial stability. We think that if we just generate more money and invest more into the right things, we can be safe and the market or the government will direct our money and our resources into the right direction. What we don't really notice is that if we try to force making something better by just forcing more money into it, we just over saturate it. In a sense our system acts like a stress multiplier in crisis. When people are in fear of a crisis, they become uncertain and begin to pull investments out of risky positions and may stop investing into local/personal projects to invest into stable assets like gold, housing or index funds. Every dollar taken out of the local economy or was previously invested diversified now becomes concentrated. The money that previously kept many alive is now focused on a few that were already winning. Now the pressure is on them to reinvest the money to generate returns. But what if that company already reached its saturation point? If the research is already saturated, the market is largely captured, and the work force is sufficient for the workload, the money has to go somewhere else to increase profits, because now the economy is reliant of it. Which most of the time means it flows into politics. Now the money is used to overturn laws that kept working conditions, customers or the environment safe, because its the only option left to satisfy the increasing need for profits. And by the way, the same would happen if everyone invested in gold suddenly, because corporations that need gold to manufacture their product will suddenly have less money and higher costs.

In sum this practice has taken our individual power, our sense of progression, our sense of unity and our individual sense of worth through monopolization. Your local bakery is now a soulless chain you cant even be happy about if it survives a rough time. There are no local known secrets anymore, just national scandals. There is no sense of having made something or supported something you think is valuable. Everything is non personal and optimized for the maximum profit to generate profits for more and more people that want a chance to jump classes to get out of the daily soulless grueling monotony.

The worst thing about it from my perspective is, that it isn't even efficient. The one thing this system stands for, it doesn't even accomplish. The existing capital just gets concentrated until oversaturation leads to collapse.

We really need safeguards. Structural circuit-breakers that force capital back into the roots. Mandatory local reinvestment thresholds, regional trust funds that cannot be liquidated, and severe penalties for extracting wealth out of the communities that generated it. In a sense we have to rebel against ourselves to save ourselves from falling into self destructive cycles.

We are living in a crisis of belief and culture. I think the right are feeling it the most but cant pin down the source of it. The left finds the source for it but cant really find the feelings to oppose it. And while this goes on both sides just get played by the ones depriving them of it. But to be honest, i think even the ones at the source of the issue aren't maliciously doing so, but are confused and largely overloaded. In an absurd way, this system even forces the ones on the top to not be able to voice concerns as that would come right back after them and hurt the group they are part of.

Hi all,

(I've searched to see if anyone else has mentioned this, so apologies if this has been covered elsewhere.)

The BIS has just released its 2026 annual report, and I'm interested to hear thoughts on this graph that appears on page 20:

https://preview.redd.it/i6lng6e1fxeh1.png?width=790&format=png&auto=webp&s=ce288fa384c9d18209d27a7e93206fd19eb9bf3d

The whole report is a doomer's paradise for those interested in the potential threats of AI to the labour market, but the above, particularly graph B, genuinely shocked me and I'm surprised it's not had much traction. They're predicting that by 2060, labour will receive only 20% of global income, and that the initial large drop will happen in 2035.

I recommend reading the whole section on AI and Labour (page 20 onwards), and I'm wondering has anyone heard/read reports on what steps governments are taking to insulate workers from these shocks?

(If you're interested, I got made aware of this report from this podcast episode.)

Thanks

Although we're not known for harsh winters, it wasn't really uncommon. Snow used to come. Now summers are green.

I think it's easy for people to think it's going to get better, when they don't live in areas affected this hard.

This summer people died due to heatwaves. We had to cut our holiday short, because wildfires covered the beach we were in. My lungs felt heavy when breathing, the sea was grimy, full of ash.

What I am essentially saying is that it's happening. Just because you may live in isolated suburbia and unable to see it, the rest of us are living it.

This article from the Conversation covers the increasing influence of Biblical End Times ideology within the spheres of power across societies. It shows a linking of the field of Existential Risk and the politics of Biblical armageddon, tech-bro accellerationism and societal collapse. This is collapse related as it highlights how present day technology and philosophy is being co-opted by a mesh of theocratic and technological-entrepreneurial thought to drive us all off the cliff rather than adapt our societies and preserve what wellbeing we can.

The Earth is currently experiencing sea surface temperatures last experienced at the peak of the 1877-1878 El Nino. And, for the next 6 months or so, we are projected to be well above the peak temperatures of that period.

That El Nino event very briefly saw a temperature anomaly of about +2C above normal for a few months, technically making it a "Super" El Nino. But... that's a relatively brief period, and cool compared to our current surface temperatures. Our new normal, after the current "Godzilla" El Nino passes, might be somewhat like that hottest months of the 1877-1878 "Super" El Nino.

Note that the contemporary NOAA chart below is using the 1991-2020 period as the baseline (and not pre-industrial or 19th century temperatures). Also note that the chart doesn't default to actually showing you what the peak of the El Nino temperature anomaly is projected to be this November -- because it's literally off the charts.

https://journals.ametsoc.org/configurable/content/journals$002fclim$002f31$002f23$002fjcli-d-18-0159.1.xml?t:ac=journals%24002fclim%24002f31%24002f23%24002fjcli-d-18-0159.1.xml&tab_body=fulltext-display

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CDB/Forecast/figf4.shtml

In Parable of the Sower, there is a drug that makes people start fires. Maybe in real life there is just a death drive and the call of the void.

Researchers have rediscovered a healthy coral reef off the coast of Benin more than 60 years after surveyors first hinted at its existence. Mass bleaching events and overfishing slashed the world's coral reef area by more than 50 percent since the 1950s. local oceanographers had written off any remnants of a possible reef as dead. "Since it's an undisturbed marine ecosystem, it can help through carbon dating or paleoclimatic study to tell us which kind of climate system has occurred here in the past," said Zinzindohoué. "It's better to know the past to help explain the present, and help know which kind of direction we can take in the future." This rediscovered coral reef represents a sliver of hope, as it raises questions about why it has survived while more than 50% of the world's coral reefs have collapsed. Scientists can study this reef to better understand the factors behind its resilience, helping to protect other reefs and improve future conservation efforts.

It is time to face the facts. Europe is seeing temperatures up to 50 C and people are dying in their homes. What is thousands of heat related deaths today will become millions tomorrow.

While some people are more heat tolerant, younger people from equatorial regions for example and those from the Middle East this future is a threat to everyone.

As the planet heats up it is becoming increasingly obvious that we need to start designing more heat efficient structures and taking advantage of the earth's thermal mass.

Using the ground to cool incoming air will both save electricity and enable passive cooling even during power outages.

We should also be looking at painting roofs white and building new homes with fully below grade basements and cellars to act as thermal refuge sites during power outages or extreme heat events.

Where possible we may need to start looking at building up to 2 stories fully underground and moving new homes underground. We need to use less wood and look at building more permanent heat resistant structures.

The time to stop the worst of global warming is past us. Countries need to start working on mitigation and preparation before this consumes us.

wasn't sure if I had seen this posted here, and Anton is as credible as it gets.

This is one of the strongest hypotheses explaining the Fermi paradox.

For example, if you try to reconcile the Technological Singularity with the Great Filter hypothesis, you arrive at a rather bizarre conclusion.

Because of this issue, Ray Kurzweil concluded that humanity must be the vanguard, leading the way as an advanced civilization in the entire universe.

This is because if we assume that the Human Vanguard hypothesis is incorrect, Ray Kurzweil's trajectory of civilization progression after the Technological Singularity becomes completely wrong.

It is impossible for the universe to feel as quiet as it does now.

In other words, we are caught in a complete trap. The current speed of technological development is clearly heading toward the Singularity. On the other hand, the universe is strangely quiet.

Therefore, if humanity is not the vanguard of the universe, I have reached the conclusion that there must be some powerful Great Filter before the Singularity arrives.

And while this is merely personal speculation, I feel that humanity is absolutely not the first advanced civilization in the universe.

In other words, I think the Fermi paradox is not merely a matter of interest, but an ominous philosophical allusion to the extinction of humanity.

Have you ever been looking at articles or news about climate disasters or resource depletion and felt genuinely uneasy about where things are going? And in the back of your mind or even outright believe, the problem is that there are currently too many people. The estimated global population is approximately 8 billion people and is rising. For sure, 8 billion people is an astounding number of people, and it's hard to perceive or conceive such a number.

But let's try to see if our perceptions are correct and imagine if everyone on earth was relocated to one geographic location and had to live next to each other. I don't mean packed together shoulder to shoulder like a can of sardines but living together. Let's assume people would live in conditions similar to the most densely populated city in the world, where it would be cramped but livable. What geographic location would be able to hold all of us?You might think it would have to be the size of a continent or, at minimum, a country the size of Russia. But no, the location would be the good ol' state of Oklahoma. That's right, Oklahoma, which is around ¼ the size of Texas and 1/3 the size of the UK.

So here is how the numbers work out: Manila is the most densely populated city on earth with 120,000 people per square mile, so you divide 8 billion by 120,000, and you get around 68,600 square miles, which is slightly smaller than the land area of Oklahoma .Which brings up the question of where this narrative of the world being overcrowded came from. Because there was a survey by UNFPA in 2023 conducted in 8 countries and it found that the most common belief in each country was that their most serious concern was overpopulation. And notably, it was a common belief found among the most educated individuals.

This means it's not ignorance and it's probably a manufactured response. Also, the response of people who live in wealthier western countries (which disproportionately produce more pollution and larger carbon footprints) often quietly sees environmental or political disasters in the global south and Third World countries as a form of nature doing something unfortunate but a pragmatically necessary correction. I call this attitude pragmatic misanthropy. This is different from pessimism (resignation from the human condition) or cynicism (disaffection toward human nature), but the move here is to see the problem as the human quantity itself. While conveniently ignoring the power hierarchy that bears most of the problem's responsibility.

This same hierarchy pushes an ideology of ignorance by distorting the data and educating populations to be more anxious about overpopulation, specifically anxiety about birth rates in the Global South rather than consumption rates among the wealthy, at immigration rather than regulatory capture, at human population increase rather than manufactured scarcity. This framework makes people feel serious about the world, while the individuals and entities that cause the majority of the harm get relatively little scrutiny.

This 10 minute video from CNN yesterday is about a new (growing, rather) generation of Americans with the flattering label of "Forever Renters".

This is collapse related because home ownership will never be an option for a huge number of Americans - and many more each day. The second richest country in the world is pricing half their population out of a bare minimum existence. Anyone wanna guess how this story ends?

On July 14th The Daily Show interviewed Beth Kobliner about her new book "Get A Financial Life". She is of the opinion that financial literacy is the biggest problem in the modern economy. Yes, she actually said that. Apparently the most important thing you can do as a lower/middle class grunt is accept this broken system and try budgeting the money you don't have for a future you will never see.

Thanks for the wisdom Beth - what ever would we do without you?

"Do I wish I was getting on a flight and heading to the floe edge to take people out on the ice? Yes, there's a big part of me that wishes I was doing that right now.

And I also know that I would feel like shit after doing it."

This article is about over 2 dozen Antarctic tour guides quitting their jobs after coming to terms with their own complicity in this horrifying industry.

"Very often, for long periods of time, the penguins had maybe a few hours' break during the night. Otherwise there were hundreds of people walking through the colonies non-stop."

Collapse related because Antarctic tourism is one of the most destructive forms of tourism and it is growing rapidly. By the end of the decade over a million people per year will be buying guided tours to the most pristine environment on Earth.

https://www.concretecanvas.com/us/

Amalgamation key speak to Rachel Lane for the full break down

How to spark the exposure of the TOP TIER GLOBAL WARMING AND ROMAN REMOTE REMAKE

HOWE MANY TIMES AND PEOPLE ARE INVOLVED

HIDE LIKE HYDE

HIDEOUS HCL AND SAVILL PEEDER LOVING LOCKDOWN INVENTORS AND THE GOVERNOR MIGRATION TO THE EE NUTSTORE

ANASTASIA NURSEE

Spain will experience the most intense and dangerous early summer anomaly in its history by next week. The Sahara desert is bringing to Spain heat of 45-47C . The night is expected to reach 25-30 C. This heatwave will stress the vegetation with wildfires, Strain agriculture and infrastructure. Is it expected that these types of Heat events will become more frequent, more intense, and longer-lasting due to global warming. Repeated heat events might lead energy, infrastructure and agriculture industry to stress / collapse if they are unable to operate under heat condition.